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The Southern Company

SO · Utilities · · USD
88.11 USD
0.00 (-0.74%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

45
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 46
Momentum 40
Fundamental 44
Macro 64
Liquidity 61
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 46.0 30%
Momentum 40.2 15%
Fundamental 44.4 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 61.1 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 88.11
Stop Loss 85.21 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 91.01 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 93.91 (+6.6%)
ATR(14) 1.45 (1.6%)
Risk per Share 2.90
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 71.1 +0.84
Momentum 40.2 -0.39
Quality 34.0 -0.64
Composite 48.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 21.2 16.0 +33% above
P/B Ratio 2.6 1.8 Above
Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.5% Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
51.23
vs
Market Price
88.11
Upside
-41.9%
Margin of Safety -72.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,717,213,303
Terminal Value PV43,216,727,032
Total Enterprise Value58,933,940,335

Assumptions

Base FCF3,819,205,219
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
28.89%
Full Kelly
14.45%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.08
RSI(14)
-1.3207
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

52
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-8.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance -2.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 34.08 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.3207 BEARISH
Ma Cross 92.84 / 91.04 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.32x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High100.84
Bollinger Upper93.38
SMA(200)91.04
SMA(50)92.84
SMA(20)90.15
Current Price88.11
Bollinger Lower86.91
52-Week Low83.80
ATR(14)1.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.08x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.32x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 88.85 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 90.83 Base line
Senkou A 89.84 Leading span A
Senkou B 92.79 Leading span B
Cloud 89.84 – 92.79 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 88.11 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 93.77 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 86.91 – 93.38  |  KC: 88.24 – 92.05

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 91.42 Anchor: 2025-12-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -3.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/SO

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap101.36B
P/E (TTM)21.23
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.56
EPS4.15

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth0.1%
Profit Margin15.4%
ROE11.5%
Debt/Equity182.06
Current Ratio0.79
Dividend Yield3.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

88.11
Open
88.11
Day High
88.11
Day Low
7.18M
Volume (1.2x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —