S&P 500 7718.60 -0.38%
NASDAQ 26506.99 -0.29%
TASI 11024.73 -0.40%
Oil (WTI) 91.48 +0.00%
Oil (Brent) 96.28 +0.00%
VIX 15.30 +5.30%
Gold 4476.60 +0.00%
USD/SAR 3.76 +0.02%

The Southern Company

SO · Utilities · · USD
88.11 USD
0.00 (-0.74%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

45
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 46
Momentum 40
Fundamental 36
Macro 64
Liquidity 61
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 10%
Trend & RS 46.0 10%
Momentum 40.2 5%
Fundamental 35.5 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 61.1 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 88.11
Stop Loss 85.21 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 91.01 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 93.91 (+6.6%)
ATR(14) 1.45 (1.6%)
Risk per Share 2.90
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 68.2 +0.73
Momentum 40.2 -0.39
Quality 34.0 -0.64
Composite 47.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.33 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 21.2 16.0 +33% above
P/B Ratio 2.6 1.8 Above
Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.5% Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
51.23
vs
Market Price
88.11
Upside
-41.9%
Margin of Safety -72.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)15,717,212,593
Terminal Value PV43,216,725,085
Total Enterprise Value58,933,937,678

Assumptions

Base FCF3,819,205,047
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
28.89%
Full Kelly
14.45%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.08
RSI(14)
-1.3207
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

52
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-8.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance -2.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 34.08 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.3207 BEARISH
Ma Cross 92.84 / 91.04 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.32x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High100.84
Bollinger Upper93.38
SMA(200)91.04
SMA(50)92.84
SMA(20)90.15
Current Price88.11
Bollinger Lower86.91
52-Week Low83.80
ATR(14)1.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.22x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.08x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.32x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 88.85 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 90.83 Base line
Senkou A 89.84 Leading span A
Senkou B 92.79 Leading span B
Cloud 89.84 – 92.79 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 88.11 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 93.77 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 86.91 – 93.38  |  KC: 88.24 – 92.05

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 91.42 Anchor: 2025-12-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -3.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/SO

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap101.36B
P/E (TTM)21.23
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.56
EPS4.15

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth0.1%
Profit Margin15.4%
ROE11.5%
Debt/Equity182.06
Current Ratio0.79
Dividend Yield3.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

88.11
Open
88.11
Day High
88.11
Day Low
7.18M
Volume (1.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

XLU’s AI Power Story Crumbles as Texas Freezes Data-Center Demand
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-07
Southern Co (SO) Cleared PSC Review for 3.2GW of OpenAI Demand. Can Data Centers Lower Customer Bills Without Raising Grid Risk?
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-04
3 Utility Dividend Stocks Built to Keep Paying in Any Economy
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Is Southern Company Stock Underperforming the Dow?
Barchart · 2026-09-03
Why High-Yield Baby Bonds Offer Income Investors a Rare Opportunity
Barrons.com · 2026-09-02
No ETFs Required: How a 64-Year-Old Built a $5,700 Monthly Paycheck From Five Dividend Stocks
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Vistra Stock Is Down, But Is This Power Producer's Dip An Opportunity?
Trefis · 2026-09-01
PG&E Stock Is Priced For A Decision It Does Not Make
Trefis · 2026-08-31

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —