SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
55
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
48
Momentum
40
Fundamental
67
Macro
78
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 47.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 39.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 78.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 48.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 18.62 |
| Stop Loss | 16.74 (10.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 20.50 (+10.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 22.38 (+20.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.94 (5.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.88 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 50.6 | +0.02 | |
| Momentum | 39.8 | -0.41 | |
| Quality | 33.4 | -0.66 | |
| Composite | 41.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 41.4 | 18.0 | +130% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.2 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
14.65
vs
Market Price
18.62
Upside
-21.3%
| Margin of Safety | -27.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 3,705,627,832 |
| Terminal Value PV | 15,085,336,213 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 18,790,964,045 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 482,310,715 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
36.13%
Full Kelly
18.06%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
59.25
RSI(14)
0.386
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
44
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (55d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +3.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 59.25 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.386 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 16.84 / 22.13 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.83x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 32.73 |
| Bollinger Upper | 19.0 |
| SMA(200) | 22.13 |
| SMA(50) | 16.84 |
| SMA(20) | 17.58 |
| Current Price | 18.62 |
| Bollinger Lower | 16.17 |
| 52-Week Low | 14.92 |
| ATR(14) | 0.94 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 1.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 18.09 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 17.42 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 17.76 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 17.05 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 17.05 – 17.76 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 18.62 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 17.74 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 16.17 – 19.0 | KC: 16.19 – 18.98
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 17.28
Anchor: 2026-05-19 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SOFI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 23.88B |
| P/E (TTM) | 41.38 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.21 |
| EPS | 0.47 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 42.5% |
| Profit Margin | 14.8% |
| ROE | 6.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 17.72 |
| Current Ratio | 1.12 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.15 |
Trading Data
18.62
Open
18.62
Day High
18.62
Day Low
69.84M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)