SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
46
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
33
Momentum
59
Fundamental
76
Macro
64
Liquidity
36
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 33.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 58.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 76.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 36.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 18.22 |
| Stop Loss | 16.52 (9.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 19.92 (+9.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 21.62 (+18.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.85 (4.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.70 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 55.7 | +0.23 | |
| Momentum | 58.9 | +0.36 | |
| Quality | 33.8 | -0.65 | |
| Composite | 49.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.27
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 37.2 | 18.0 | +107% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
15.27
vs
Market Price
18.22
Upside
-16.2%
| Margin of Safety | -19.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 3,889,905,173 |
| Terminal Value PV | 15,835,515,617 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 19,725,420,790 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 506,295,567 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
29.59%
Full Kelly
14.79%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
51.18
RSI(14)
0.1054
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
8
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+9.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (40d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.18 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.1054 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 17.88 / 19.97 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.68x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 32.73 |
| Bollinger Upper | 19.24 |
| SMA(200) | 19.97 |
| SMA(50) | 17.88 |
| SMA(20) | 18.24 |
| Current Price | 18.22 |
| Bollinger Lower | 17.24 |
| 52-Week Low | 14.88 |
| ATR(14) | 0.85 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.68x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 18.21 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 17.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 17.94 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 17.31 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 17.31 – 17.94 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 18.22 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 16.31 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
6 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 17.24 – 19.24 | KC: 17.01 – 19.47
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 7 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 17.66
Anchor: 2026-07-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SOFI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 23.53B |
| P/E (TTM) | 37.18 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.12 |
| EPS | 0.49 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 42.6% |
| Profit Margin | 14.9% |
| ROE | 7.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 30.84 |
| Current Ratio | 1.10 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.21 |
Trading Data
18.22
Open
18.22
Day High
18.22
Day Low
29.12M
Volume (0.4x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)