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Sempra

SRE · Utilities · · USD
84.04 USD
0.00 (-0.63%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

46
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 28
Momentum 38
Fundamental 49
Macro 64
Liquidity 46
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 10%
Trend & RS 27.5 10%
Momentum 38.0 5%
Fundamental 48.6 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 46.1 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 84.04
Stop Loss 79.92 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 88.16 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 92.28 (+9.8%)
ATR(14) 2.06 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 4.12
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 63.2 +0.53
Momentum 38.0 -0.48
Quality 39.9 -0.40
Composite 47.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.53 — Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.4 16.0 +52% above
P/B Ratio 1.7 1.8 Inline
Dividend Yield 3.1% 3.5% Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
42.59
vs
Market Price
84.04
Upside
-49.3%
Margin of Safety -97.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)7,427,167,230
Terminal Value PV20,422,059,086
Total Enterprise Value27,849,226,316

Assumptions

Base FCF1,804,764,960
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
29.13%
Full Kelly
14.56%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
44.22
RSI(14)
-1.2544
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

31
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-12.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance -5.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 44.22 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.2544 BULLISH
Ma Cross 88.77 / 90.21 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.65x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High101.04
Bollinger Upper87.75
SMA(200)90.21
SMA(50)88.77
SMA(20)84.94
Current Price84.04
Bollinger Lower82.13
52-Week Low78.97
ATR(14)2.06

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Stopping Volume 2.26x High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-09-01 Normal 1.53x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.57x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.65x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 83.39 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 84.78 Base line
Senkou A 84.09 Leading span A
Senkou B 87.81 Leading span B
Cloud 84.09 – 87.81 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 84.04 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 88.55 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 6 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 82.13 – 87.75  |  KC: 81.93 – 87.96

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 5
Regular Bullish RSI 11
Regular Bullish MACD 11

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 89.14 Anchor: 2025-09-08 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/SRE

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap54.95B
P/E (TTM)24.36
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.68
EPS3.45

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-0.1%
Profit Margin16.8%
ROE6.7%
Debt/Equity84.66
Current Ratio1.64
Dividend Yield3.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.56

Trading Data

84.04
Open
84.04
Day High
84.04
Day Low
2.69M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Street Calls of the Week
Investing.com · 2026-09-06
CRC completes pipelines acquisition, says it may use 2,000-mile network for CO2 transport
The Bakersfield Californian · 2026-09-02
California Wildfire Legislation Postponed, Utility Stocks Bounce
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-09-01
PG&E Shares Trim Losses Ahead of High-Stakes Wildfire Bill Vote
Barrons.com · 2026-09-01
Here Are Tuesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Akamai Technologies, Arista Networks, Booking Holdings, Cisco Systems, Dell Technologies, Duolingo, Robinhood Markets, PG&E, and More
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Sempra (SRE) Could Be 21% Undervalued As California Wildfire Liability Rules Shift
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
Sempra (SRE) Stock Looks Fairly Priced Despite Strong Returns And Richer Earnings
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-01
PG&E, Edison Suffer Biggest Stock Drops in Years on California Wildfire Legislation
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-08-31

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —