Sempra
SRE · Utilities · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
31
/ 100
Technical
20
Trend & RS
41
Momentum
35
Fundamental (0%)
48
Macro
24
Liquidity
87
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 20.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 41.0 | 20% |
| Momentum | 34.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 47.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 87.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 78.39 |
| Stop Loss | 74.85 (4.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 81.93 (+4.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 85.47 (+9.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.77 (2.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 69.5 | +0.78 | |
| Momentum | 34.7 | -0.61 | |
| Quality | 44.7 | -0.21 | |
| Composite | 49.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.46
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.1 | 16.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.6 | 1.8 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% | 3.5% | Below avg |
Comparing against Utilities median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
57.65
vs
Market Price
79.83
Upside
-27.8%
| Margin of Safety | -38.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,053,585,784 |
| Terminal Value PV | 27,643,772,737 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 37,697,358,521 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,442,971,700 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
17.02%
Full Kelly
8.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
33.67
RSI(14)
0.1196
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
52
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-1.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.67 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.1196 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 81.8 / 88.21 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 101.04 |
| Bollinger Upper | 87.43 |
| SMA(200) | 88.21 |
| SMA(50) | 81.8 |
| SMA(20) | 83.34 |
| Current Price | 79.83 |
| Bollinger Lower | 79.25 |
| 52-Week Low | 76.21 |
| ATR(14) | 1.77 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
100%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 3.02x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 82.55 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 82.35 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 82.45 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 81.64 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 81.64 – 82.45 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 78.39 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 78.38 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 79.25 – 87.43 | KC: 80.84 – 85.84
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 81.94
Anchor: 2026-09-29 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-4.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SRE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 52.20B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.09 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.57 |
| EPS | 4.67 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.3% |
| Profit Margin | 22.5% |
| ROE | 8.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 84.83 |
| Current Ratio | 1.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
79.83
Open
79.83
Day High
79.83
Day Low
11.32M
Volume (2.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)