Sun Communities, Inc.

SUI · Real Estate · · USD

119.44 USD

0.00 (-0.34%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 32

Momentum 41

Fundamental (0%) 46

Macro 64

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	31.6	20%
Momentum	41.1	20%
Fundamental	46.1	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	37.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	119.44
Stop Loss	114.58 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	124.30 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	129.16 (+8.1%)

ATR(14)	2.43 (2.0%)
Risk per Share	4.86
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	39.9	-0.40
Momentum	41.1	-0.35
Quality	8.7	-1.65
Composite	29.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.39 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	153.1	18.0	+751% above
P/B Ratio	2.6	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.8%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

12.25%

Full Kelly

6.13%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.5

RSI(14)

-0.1428

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-7.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.5	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1428	BEARISH
Ma Cross	121.34 / 123.98	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.43x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	137.85
Bollinger Upper	125.73
SMA(200)	123.98
SMA(50)	121.34
SMA(20)	121.54
Current Price	119.44
Bollinger Lower	117.34
52-Week Low	115.90
ATR(14)	2.43

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.46x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	122.68	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	122.07	Base line
Senkou A	122.37	Leading span A
Senkou B	122.25	Leading span B
Cloud	122.25 – 122.37	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	119.44	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	123.48	Bearish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL