AT&T Inc.

T · Communication Services · · USD

25.68 USD

0.00 (-1.95%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 81

Momentum 57

Fundamental 35

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	80.7	10%
Momentum	56.8	5%
Fundamental	35.0	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	45.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	25.68
Stop Loss	24.62 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	26.74 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	27.80 (+8.3%)

ATR(14)	0.53 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	1.06
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	86.9	+1.48
Momentum	56.8	+0.27
Quality	41.3	-0.35
Composite	61.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.28 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.5	18.0	-53% below
P/B Ratio	1.6	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	4.3%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

37.89

Market Price

25.68

Upside

+47.6%

Margin of Safety	+32.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	68,934,730,177
Terminal Value PV	190,735,090,620
Total Enterprise Value	259,669,820,797

Assumptions

Base FCF	16,610,182,816
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.54%

Full Kelly

15.77%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.18

RSI(14)

0.66

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+9.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+11.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.18	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.66	BEARISH
Ma Cross	23.48 / 24.7	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.84x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	29.79
Bollinger Upper	26.59
SMA(200)	24.7
SMA(50)	23.48
SMA(20)	25.29
Current Price	25.68
Bollinger Lower	24.0
52-Week Low	19.89
ATR(14)	0.53

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.86	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	24.50	Base line
Senkou A	25.18	Leading span A
Senkou B	23.03	Leading span B
Cloud	23.03 – 25.18	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	25.68	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	23.25	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH