AT&T Inc.
T · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
30
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
27
Momentum
38
Fundamental (0%)
39
Macro
24
Liquidity
62
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 26.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 37.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 39.2 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 61.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 21.82 |
| Stop Loss | 20.48 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 23.16 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 24.50 (+12.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.67 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 85.7 | +1.43 | |
| Momentum | 37.7 | -0.49 | |
| Quality | 31.4 | -0.74 | |
| Composite | 51.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.14
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.7 | 18.0 | -35% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 5.1% | 1.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
26.60
vs
Market Price
21.82
Upside
+21.9%
| Margin of Safety | +18.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 45,483,893,864 |
| Terminal Value PV | 133,716,213,463 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 179,200,107,327 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 10,077,764,256 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
15.53%
Full Kelly
7.77%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 30/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
43.37
RSI(14)
-0.6891
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
29
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-2.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | No (37d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 43.37 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.6891 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 23.86 / 24.42 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.86x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 29.44 |
| Bollinger Upper | 23.99 |
| SMA(200) | 24.42 |
| SMA(50) | 23.86 |
| SMA(20) | 22.05 |
| Current Price | 21.82 |
| Bollinger Lower | 20.11 |
| 52-Week Low | 19.89 |
| ATR(14) | 0.67 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.68x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 21.37 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 22.61 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 21.99 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 23.57 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 21.99 – 23.57 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 21.82 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 24.03 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 20.11 – 23.99 | KC: 20.85 – 23.25
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 7 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 16 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 23.00
Anchor: 2026-07-02 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-5.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/T
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 146.99B |
| P/E (TTM) | 11.67 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.38 |
| EPS | 1.87 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.3% |
| Profit Margin | 10.2% |
| ROE | 11.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 144.77 |
| Current Ratio | 0.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.49 |
Trading Data
21.82
Open
21.82
Day High
21.82
Day Low
50.43M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)