TransDigm Group Incorporated
TDG · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
45
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
49
Momentum
50
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
24
Liquidity
38
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 49.0 | 20% |
| Momentum | 50.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 38.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 1189.02 |
| Stop Loss | 1124.30 (5.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 1253.73 (+5.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 1318.45 (+10.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 32.36 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 64.72 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 30.9 | -0.76 | |
| Momentum | 50.0 | -0.00 | |
| Quality | 67.3 | +0.69 | |
| Composite | 49.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.1 | 18.0 | +101% above |
| P/B Ratio | -6.7 | 3.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
935.47
vs
Market Price
1190.33
Upside
-21.4%
| Margin of Safety | -27.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,614,118,906 |
| Terminal Value PV | 41,709,983,621 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 52,324,102,527 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,475,304,125 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 22.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
28.97%
Full Kelly
14.49%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
58.57
RSI(14)
19.81
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
47
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+2.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.57 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 19.81 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 1129.88 / 1220.29 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 1463.03 |
| Bollinger Upper | 1221.05 |
| SMA(200) | 1220.29 |
| SMA(50) | 1129.88 |
| SMA(20) | 1150.65 |
| Current Price | 1190.33 |
| Bollinger Lower | 1080.25 |
| 52-Week Low | 1071.25 |
| ATR(14) | 32.36 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.11x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.01x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 1177.72 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 1157.16 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 1167.44 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 1153.78 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 1153.78 – 1167.44 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 1189.02 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 1090.38 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 1080.25 – 1221.05 | KC: 1101.91 – 1199.4
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 1121.77
Anchor: 2026-09-16 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TDG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 66.58B |
| P/E (TTM) | 36.10 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -6.71 |
| EPS | 32.97 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 22.5% |
| Profit Margin | 21.3% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 3.02 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.95 |
Trading Data
1190.33
Open
1190.33
Day High
1190.33
Day Low
9.1K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)