Target Corporation
TGT · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
77
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
70
Fundamental
74
Macro
54
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 86.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 69.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 74.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 48.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 158.41 |
| Stop Loss | 148.39 (6.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 168.43 (+6.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 178.45 (+12.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.01 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.02 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 69.6 | +0.78 | |
| Momentum | 69.8 | +0.79 | |
| Quality | 38.3 | -0.47 | |
| Composite | 59.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.66
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.4 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 4.0 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
136.99
vs
Market Price
158.41
Upside
-13.5%
| Margin of Safety | -15.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 15,795,896,899 |
| Terminal Value PV | 46,437,702,277 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 62,233,599,176 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,499,861,416 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
49.88%
Full Kelly
24.94%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
54.33
RSI(14)
0.7272
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
90
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+9.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (53d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.33 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.7272 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 156.42 / 134.11 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.77x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 170.75 |
| Bollinger Upper | 161.79 |
| SMA(200) | 134.11 |
| SMA(50) | 156.42 |
| SMA(20) | 154.31 |
| Current Price | 158.41 |
| Bollinger Lower | 146.83 |
| 52-Week Low | 83.44 |
| ATR(14) | 5.01 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 155.91 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 155.91 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 155.91 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 156.22 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 155.91 – 156.22 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 158.41 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 156.00 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 146.83 – 161.79 | KC: 146.86 – 161.76
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 122.49
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+29.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TGT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 71.96B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.45 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.03 |
| EPS | 9.63 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.3% |
| Profit Margin | 4.1% |
| ROE | 26.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 107.58 |
| Current Ratio | 0.99 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.93 |
Trading Data
158.41
Open
158.41
Day High
158.41
Day Low
2.99M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)