Target Corporation

TGT · Consumer Defensive · · USD

164.44 USD

+0.00 (0.26%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 99

Momentum 88

Fundamental 75

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	99.2	30%
Momentum	88.3	15%
Fundamental	75.2	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	46.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	164.44
Stop Loss	155.70 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	173.18 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	181.92 (+10.6%)

ATR(14)	4.37 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	8.74
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	68.3	+0.73
Momentum	88.3	+1.53
Quality	38.3	-0.47
Composite	64.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 4.74 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.1	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	4.2	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	2.8%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

137.13

Market Price

164.44

Upside

-16.6%

Margin of Safety	-19.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	15,812,483,305
Terminal Value PV	46,486,463,964
Total Enterprise Value	62,298,947,269

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,503,536,428
Growth Rate (5yr)	5.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

51.9%

Full Kelly

25.95%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 81/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.8%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.61

RSI(14)

5.2885

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+30.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+32.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.61	NEUTRAL
Macd	5.2885	BEARISH
Ma Cross	146.36 / 120.78	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.59x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	170.75
Bollinger Upper	171.47
SMA(200)	120.78
SMA(50)	146.36
SMA(20)	159.76
Current Price	164.44
Bollinger Lower	148.04
52-Week Low	83.44
ATR(14)	4.37

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Demand	0.57x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-03	Normal	0.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	No Supply	0.59x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	163.66	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	155.36	Base line
Senkou A	159.51	Leading span A
Senkou B	147.25	Leading span B
Cloud	147.25 – 159.51	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	164.44	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	143.39	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH