Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
39
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
37
Momentum
41
Fundamental
83
Macro
22
Liquidity
73
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 37.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 41.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 72.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 68.78 |
| Stop Loss | 64.64 (6.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 72.92 (+6.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 77.06 (+12.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.07 (3.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 4.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 37.4 | -0.51 | |
| Momentum | 37.4 | -0.51 | |
| Quality | 32.6 | -0.70 | |
| Composite | 35.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.81
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 40.5 | 28.0 | +44% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.1 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
28.96
vs
Market Price
68.78
Upside
-57.9%
| Margin of Safety | -137.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 14,115,888,756 |
| Terminal Value PV | 45,009,455,257 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 59,125,344,013 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,776,981,375 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 9.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
23.85%
Full Kelly
11.92%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
50.99
RSI(14)
-0.805
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
43
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (51d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.99 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.805 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 70.31 / 73.01 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.62x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 95.18 |
| Bollinger Upper | 72.84 |
| SMA(200) | 73.01 |
| SMA(50) | 70.31 |
| SMA(20) | 68.38 |
| Current Price | 68.78 |
| Bollinger Lower | 63.92 |
| 52-Week Low | 64.04 |
| ATR(14) | 2.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 68.27 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 68.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 68.27 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 73.20 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 68.27 – 73.20 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 68.78 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 67.88 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 63.92 – 72.84 | KC: 65.39 – 71.38
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 20 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 67.68
Anchor: 2026-10-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/UBER
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 140.44B |
| P/E (TTM) | 40.46 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.07 |
| EPS | 1.70 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 9.6% |
| Profit Margin | 6.1% |
| ROE | 12.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.24 |
| Current Ratio | 1.23 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.31 |
Trading Data
68.78
Open
68.78
Day High
68.78
Day Low
30.01M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)