UDR, Inc.

UDR · Real Estate · · USD

36.38 USD

+0.00 (0.03%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 42

Momentum 48

Fundamental 34

Macro 64

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	42.4	10%
Momentum	47.5	5%
Fundamental	33.6	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	39.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	36.38
Stop Loss	35.14 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	37.62 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	38.86 (+6.8%)

ATR(14)	0.62 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	1.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	55.3	+0.21
Momentum	47.5	-0.10
Quality	42.2	-0.31
Composite	48.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.14 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.0	18.0	+28% above
P/B Ratio	4.0	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.8%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

19.50

Market Price

36.38

Upside

-46.4%

Margin of Safety	-86.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,671,136,744
Terminal Value PV	4,595,029,614
Total Enterprise Value	6,266,166,358

Assumptions

Base FCF	406,077,977
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

24.92%

Full Kelly

12.46%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

34.25

RSI(14)

-0.4901

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-11.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	34.25	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4901	BEARISH
Ma Cross	38.56 / 36.57	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.9x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.00
Bollinger Upper	38.45
SMA(200)	36.57
SMA(50)	38.56
SMA(20)	37.33
Current Price	36.38
Bollinger Lower	36.2
52-Week Low	32.94
ATR(14)	0.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	37.29	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	37.43	Base line
Senkou A	37.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	38.91	Leading span B
Cloud	37.36 – 38.91	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	36.38	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	38.01	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH