UDR, Inc.
UDR · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
53
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
62
Momentum
53
Fundamental
34
Macro
22
Liquidity
62
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 62.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 53.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 34.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 61.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 37.01 |
| Stop Loss | 35.47 (4.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 38.55 (+4.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 40.09 (+8.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.77 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 59.9 | +0.39 | |
| Momentum | 53.2 | +0.13 | |
| Quality | 52.2 | +0.09 | |
| Composite | 55.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.18
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.5 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 3.9 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
26.17
vs
Market Price
37.01
Upside
-29.3%
| Margin of Safety | -41.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,267,770,148 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,235,558,527 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,503,328,675 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 551,056,947 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.37%
Full Kelly
17.19%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
67.19
RSI(14)
0.5581
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
55
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+2.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 67.19 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.5581 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 34.8 / 36.22 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.33x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 42.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 37.27 |
| SMA(200) | 36.22 |
| SMA(50) | 34.8 |
| SMA(20) | 35.1 |
| Current Price | 37.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 32.94 |
| 52-Week Low | 33.10 |
| ATR(14) | 0.77 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
43%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 36.25 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 35.40 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 35.83 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 35.55 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 35.55 – 35.83 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 37.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 33.54 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 32.94 – 37.27 | KC: 33.96 – 36.25
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 35.94
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/UDR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 13.71B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.46 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.85 |
| EPS | 2.12 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -3.6% |
| Profit Margin | 39.9% |
| ROE | 18.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 151.14 |
| Current Ratio | 0.12 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.69 |
Trading Data
37.01
Open
37.01
Day High
37.01
Day Low
6.49M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)