Visa Inc.

V · Financial Services · · USD

375.07 USD

0.00 (-0.97%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 87

Momentum 77

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 55

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	87.1	30%
Momentum	76.8	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	55.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	375.07
Stop Loss	362.17 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	387.97 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	400.87 (+6.9%)

ATR(14)	6.45 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	12.90
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	22.3	-1.11
Momentum	76.8	+1.07
Quality	71.3	+0.85
Composite	56.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 19.18 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.9	18.0	+78% above
P/B Ratio	19.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	71.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

243.03

Market Price

375.07

Upside

-35.2%

Margin of Safety	-54.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	92,734,185,036
Terminal Value PV	321,413,812,860
Total Enterprise Value	414,147,997,896

Assumptions

Base FCF	16,005,026,422
Growth Rate (5yr)	14.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.6%

Full Kelly

24.8%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.13

RSI(14)

5.0837

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+11.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.13	NEUTRAL
Macd	5.0837	BEARISH
Ma Cross	362.78 / 332.93	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.7x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	385.57
Bollinger Upper	389.39
SMA(200)	332.93
SMA(50)	362.78
SMA(20)	371.69
Current Price	375.07
Bollinger Lower	353.99
52-Week Low	293.89
ATR(14)	6.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	378.89	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	371.81	Base line
Senkou A	375.35	Leading span A
Senkou B	356.09	Leading span B
Cloud	356.09 – 375.35	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	375.07	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	365.45	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL