VICI Properties Inc.

VICI · Real Estate · · USD

25.93 USD

0.00 (-0.61%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 26

Momentum 39

Fundamental 67

Macro 78

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	25.9	30%
Momentum	39.1	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	53.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	25.93
Stop Loss	24.75 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	27.11 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	28.29 (+9.1%)

ATR(14)	0.59 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	1.18
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	93.1	+1.73
Momentum	39.1	-0.44
Quality	80.9	+1.24
Composite	71.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.9	18.0	-51% below
P/B Ratio	1.0	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	6.9%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

38.46

Market Price

25.93

Upside

+48.3%

Margin of Safety	+32.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,039,945,659
Terminal Value PV	31,309,171,138
Total Enterprise Value	42,349,116,797

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,572,123,412
Growth Rate (5yr)	3.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

23.6%

Full Kelly

11.8%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

39.69

RSI(14)

-0.306

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-16.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (61d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	39.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.306	BEARISH
Ma Cross	27.44 / 27.97	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.09x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	34.01
Bollinger Upper	28.13
SMA(200)	27.97
SMA(50)	27.44
SMA(20)	26.88
Current Price	25.93
Bollinger Lower	25.63
52-Week Low	25.82
ATR(14)	0.59

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	1.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	26.62	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	27.03	Base line
Senkou A	26.82	Leading span A
Senkou B	27.42	Leading span B
Cloud	26.82 – 27.42	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	25.93	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	27.08	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH