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VICI Properties Inc.

VICI · Real Estate · · USD
25.88 USD
0.00 (-0.19%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

42
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 26
Momentum 39
Fundamental 52
Macro 65
Liquidity 34
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 10%
Trend & RS 25.5 10%
Momentum 38.8 5%
Fundamental 51.8 40%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 34.5 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 25.95
Stop Loss 24.80 (4.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 27.09 (+4.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 28.23 (+8.8%)
ATR(14) 0.57 (2.2%)
Risk per Share 1.14
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 84.3 +1.37
Momentum 38.8 -0.45
Quality 80.9 +1.24
Composite 68.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 1.85 — Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 8.9 18.0 -51% below
P/B Ratio 1.0 1.5 Below
Dividend Yield 6.9% 4.0% Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
38.46
vs
Market Price
25.88
Upside
+48.6%
Margin of Safety +32.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)11,039,945,251
Terminal Value PV31,309,169,979
Total Enterprise Value42,349,115,230

Assumptions

Base FCF2,572,123,317
Growth Rate (5yr)3.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
26.3%
Full Kelly
13.15%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
39.88
RSI(14)
-0.3356
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

26
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-16.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -10.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 39.88 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.3356 BEARISH
Ma Cross 27.39 / 27.95 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.11x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High34.01
Bollinger Upper28.0
SMA(200)27.95
SMA(50)27.39
SMA(20)26.78
Current Price25.88
Bollinger Lower25.56
52-Week Low25.82
ATR(14)0.57

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.48x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.09x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 1.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Demand 0.11x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 26.62 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 27.03 Base line
Senkou A 26.82 Leading span A
Senkou B 27.42 Leading span B
Cloud 26.82 – 27.42 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 25.95 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 26.83 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 25.56 – 28.0  |  KC: 25.89 – 27.67

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 6
Regular Bullish RSI 14
Hidden Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 25.96 Anchor: 2026-07-09 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/VICI

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap28.50B
P/E (TTM)8.86
Forward P/EN/A
P/B0.98
EPS2.92

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth3.5%
Profit Margin76.8%
ROE11.3%
Debt/Equity61.85
Current Ratio11.12
Dividend Yield6.9%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.68

Trading Data

25.88
Open
25.88
Day High
25.88
Day Low
1.24M
Volume (0.1x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —