VICI Properties Inc.
VICI · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
27
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
28
Momentum
43
Fundamental (0%)
57
Macro
64
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 28.3 | 20% |
| Momentum | 42.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 57.0 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 65.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 25.42 |
| Stop Loss | 24.54 (3.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 26.30 (+3.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 27.18 (+6.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.44 (1.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.88 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 82.1 | +1.29 | |
| Momentum | 38.8 | -0.45 | |
| Quality | 79.9 | +1.20 | |
| Composite | 67.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.81
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.8 | 18.0 | -45% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.0 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 7.2% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
37.33
vs
Market Price
25.42
Upside
+46.9%
| Margin of Safety | +31.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,371,783,894 |
| Terminal Value PV | 30,731,273,740 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 41,103,057,634 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,272,624,088 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
13.23%
Full Kelly
6.62%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 27/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
37.46
RSI(14)
-0.2564
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
33
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-11.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 37.46 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.2564 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 26.38 / 27.29 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.87x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 33.65 |
| Bollinger Upper | 26.79 |
| SMA(200) | 27.29 |
| SMA(50) | 26.38 |
| SMA(20) | 26.04 |
| Current Price | 25.42 |
| Bollinger Lower | 25.29 |
| 52-Week Low | 25.34 |
| ATR(14) | 0.44 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 1.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 26.09 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26.24 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 26.17 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 26.49 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 26.17 – 26.49 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 25.42 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.35 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 25.29 – 26.79 | KC: 25.4 – 26.67
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 14 | |
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 14 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 25.57
Anchor: 2026-09-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/VICI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 27.99B |
| P/E (TTM) | 9.85 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.96 |
| EPS | 2.58 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.7% |
| Profit Margin | 67.5% |
| ROE | 9.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 60.28 |
| Current Ratio | 11.24 |
| Dividend Yield | 7.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.68 |
Trading Data
25.42
Open
25.42
Day High
25.42
Day Low
16.61M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)