VICI Properties Inc.
VICI · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
45
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
49
Momentum
43
Fundamental (0%)
57
Macro
24
Liquidity
58
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 49.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 43.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 56.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 58.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 24.61 |
| Stop Loss | 23.51 (4.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 25.71 (+4.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 26.81 (+8.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.55 (2.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 78.9 | +1.16 | |
| Momentum | 43.3 | -0.27 | |
| Quality | 78.9 | +1.15 | |
| Composite | 67.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.78
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.7 | 18.0 | -35% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.0 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 7.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
31.39
vs
Market Price
25.21
Upside
+24.5%
| Margin of Safety | +19.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,707,587,692 |
| Terminal Value PV | 25,850,632,424 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 34,558,220,116 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,902,675,889 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
28.74%
Full Kelly
14.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
55.84
RSI(14)
0.3486
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
48
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (53d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 55.84 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.3486 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 23.89 / 26.13 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 30.83 |
| Bollinger Upper | 25.42 |
| SMA(200) | 26.13 |
| SMA(50) | 23.89 |
| SMA(20) | 23.9 |
| Current Price | 25.21 |
| Bollinger Lower | 22.39 |
| 52-Week Low | 22.43 |
| ATR(14) | 0.55 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.03x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 24.55 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 24.08 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 24.31 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 24.14 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 24.14 – 24.31 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 24.61 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 22.65 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 22.39 – 25.42 | KC: 23.06 – 24.75
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 23.70
Anchor: 2026-10-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/VICI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 27.76B |
| P/E (TTM) | 11.67 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.96 |
| EPS | 2.16 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.8% |
| Profit Margin | 56.5% |
| ROE | 8.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 60.55 |
| Current Ratio | 20.26 |
| Dividend Yield | 7.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.65 |
Trading Data
25.21
Open
25.21
Day High
25.21
Day Low
13.40M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)