Waters Corporation
WAT · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
73
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
96
Momentum
60
Fundamental
89
Macro
71
Liquidity
36
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 95.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 59.7 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 40% |
| Macro | 71.2 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 35.7 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 377.90 |
| Stop Loss | 355.90 (5.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 399.90 (+5.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 421.90 (+11.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 11.00 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 22.00 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 27.9 | -0.88 | |
| Momentum | 59.7 | +0.39 | |
| Quality | 37.0 | -0.52 | |
| Composite | 41.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
8.43
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 48.2 | 22.0 | +119% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.4 | 4.0 | Below |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
244.36
vs
Market Price
377.69
Upside
-35.3%
| Margin of Safety | -54.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,731,402,181 |
| Terminal Value PV | 19,261,187,551 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 23,992,589,732 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 615,821,683 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
47.76%
Full Kelly
23.88%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
58.85
RSI(14)
6.024
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
88
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+7.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (9d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +15.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 58.85 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 6.024 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 355.13 / 349.82 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.14x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 414.15 |
| Bollinger Upper | 386.51 |
| SMA(200) | 349.82 |
| SMA(50) | 355.13 |
| SMA(20) | 368.01 |
| Current Price | 377.69 |
| Bollinger Lower | 349.52 |
| 52-Week Low | 275.05 |
| ATR(14) | 11.0 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.57x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-10 | Normal | 0.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 373.98 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 368.38 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 371.18 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 336.24 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 336.24 – 371.18 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 377.90 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 379.77 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 349.52 – 386.51 | KC: 352.18 – 383.84
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 6 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 337.82
Anchor: 2025-08-08 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+11.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WAT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 37.08B |
| P/E (TTM) | 48.18 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.42 |
| EPS | 7.84 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 91.4% |
| Profit Margin | 11.9% |
| ROE | 5.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 36.63 |
| Current Ratio | 1.79 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.20 |
Trading Data
377.69
Open
377.69
Day High
377.69
Day Low
120.2K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)