WEC Energy Group, Inc.

WEC · Utilities · · USD

105.94 USD

0.00 (-0.71%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 43

Momentum 42

Fundamental 37

Macro 64

Liquidity 45

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	42.8	30%
Momentum	41.7	15%
Fundamental	37.1	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	44.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	105.94
Stop Loss	102.44 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	109.44 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	112.94 (+6.6%)

ATR(14)	1.75 (1.6%)
Risk per Share	3.50
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	60.2	+0.41
Momentum	41.7	-0.33
Quality	32.8	-0.69
Composite	44.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.49 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.6	16.0	+29% above
P/B Ratio	N/A	1.8	Inline
Dividend Yield	3.6%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

65.25

Market Price

105.94

Upside

-38.4%

Margin of Safety	-62.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,618,696,857
Terminal Value PV	15,643,320,455
Total Enterprise Value	21,262,017,312

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,342,499,458
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

27.1%

Full Kelly

13.55%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 43/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.97

RSI(14)

-1.1377

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-10.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.1377	BEARISH
Ma Cross	110.6 / 110.01	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.68x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	119.91
Bollinger Upper	111.11
SMA(200)	110.01
SMA(50)	110.6
SMA(20)	107.47
Current Price	105.94
Bollinger Lower	103.83
52-Week Low	102.95
ATR(14)	1.75

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	106.47	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	108.23	Base line
Senkou A	107.35	Leading span A
Senkou B	111.72	Leading span B
Cloud	107.35 – 111.72	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	105.94	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	108.47	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH