Welltower Inc.

WELL · Real Estate · · USD

229.31 USD

0.00 (-1.21%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 19:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 83

Momentum 72

Fundamental 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	83.1	10%
Momentum	72.4	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	42.1	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	229.00
Stop Loss	218.25 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	239.74 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	250.47 (+9.4%)

ATR(14)	5.37 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	10.74
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	22.1	-1.11
Momentum	72.4	+0.90
Quality	34.7	-0.61
Composite	43.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.11 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	110.8	18.0	+515% above
P/B Ratio	3.7	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.3%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

64.52

Market Price

229.31

Upside

-71.9%

Margin of Safety	-255.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	8,981,467,322
Terminal Value PV	36,562,887,695
Total Enterprise Value	45,544,355,017

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,168,994,329
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

49.6%

Full Kelly

24.8%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

58.0

RSI(14)

6.093

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+0.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+7.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	58.0	NEUTRAL
Macd	6.093	BULLISH
Ma Cross	215.97 / 197.96	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.2x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	239.11
Bollinger Upper	242.86
SMA(200)	197.96
SMA(50)	215.97
SMA(20)	222.61
Current Price	229.31
Bollinger Lower	202.37
52-Week Low	151.92
ATR(14)	5.37

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	No Demand	0.46x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-07-10	Normal	0.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	231.51	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	217.20	Base line
Senkou A	224.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	216.89	Leading span B
Cloud	216.89 – 224.36	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	229.00	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	199.59	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH