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Welltower Inc.

WELL · Real Estate · · USD
236.17 USD
0.00 (-2.05%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

64
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 69
Momentum 65
Fundamental 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 50
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 69.1 30%
Momentum 65.4 15%
Fundamental 83.3 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 49.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 236.17
Stop Loss 226.39 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 245.95 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 255.73 (+8.3%)
ATR(14) 4.89 (2.1%)
Risk per Share 9.78
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 22.3 -1.11
Momentum 65.4 +0.62
Quality 31.8 -0.73
Composite 39.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 5.46 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 106.4 18.0 +491% above
P/B Ratio 3.7 1.5 Above
Dividend Yield 1.4% 4.0% Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
69.19
vs
Market Price
236.17
Upside
-70.7%
Margin of Safety -241.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)9,832,302,693
Terminal Value PV40,026,575,418
Total Enterprise Value49,858,878,111

Assumptions

Base FCF1,279,735,892
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
42.16%
Full Kelly
21.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
48.67
RSI(14)
1.1984
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+9.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High No (30d since high)
Sector Outperformance +16.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 48.67 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.1984 BEARISH
Ma Cross 236.54 / 209.57 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.84x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High255.20
Bollinger Upper244.74
SMA(200)209.57
SMA(50)236.54
SMA(20)236.78
Current Price236.17
Bollinger Lower228.82
52-Week Low163.75
ATR(14)4.89

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.28x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 238.28 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 233.87 Base line
Senkou A 236.08 Leading span A
Senkou B 235.26 Leading span B
Cloud 235.26 – 236.08 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 236.17 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 233.56 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 228.82 – 244.74  |  KC: 229.91 – 243.64

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 205.46 Anchor: 2025-10-13 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +14.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/WELL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap170.18B
P/E (TTM)106.38
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.66
EPS2.22

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth39.1%
Profit Margin12.1%
ROE3.8%
Debt/Equity41.38
Current Ratio1.32
Dividend Yield1.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.76

Trading Data

236.17
Open
236.17
Day High
236.17
Day Low
2.01M
Volume (0.6x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —