Walmart Inc.
WMT · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
64
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
54
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
83
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 78.7 | 20% |
| Momentum | 54.4 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 83.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 124.56 |
| Stop Loss | 118.48 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 130.64 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 136.72 (+9.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.04 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 9.2 | -1.63 | |
| Momentum | 54.4 | +0.18 | |
| Quality | 32.8 | -0.69 | |
| Composite | 32.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
11.54
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 46.3 | 18.0 | +157% above |
| P/B Ratio | 10.3 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 78.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
40.27
vs
Market Price
127.72
Upside
-68.5%
| Margin of Safety | -217.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 80,392,815,598 |
| Terminal Value PV | 239,130,622,387 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 319,523,437,985 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 17,517,711,700 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
42.22%
Full Kelly
21.11%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
61.31
RSI(14)
4.1746
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
71
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+15.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +3.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 61.31 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.1746 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 112.46 / 118.36 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.06x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 135.16 |
| Bollinger Upper | 129.69 |
| SMA(200) | 118.36 |
| SMA(50) | 112.46 |
| SMA(20) | 120.53 |
| Current Price | 127.72 |
| Bollinger Lower | 111.38 |
| 52-Week Low | 98.88 |
| ATR(14) | 3.04 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.3x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.06x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 124.97 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 117.60 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 121.28 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 117.04 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 117.04 – 121.28 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 124.56 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 104.26 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 111.38 – 129.69 | KC: 115.97 – 125.1
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 8 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 116.74
Anchor: 2025-11-14 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/WMT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1013.30B |
| P/E (TTM) | 46.28 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 10.33 |
| EPS | 2.76 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.9% |
| Profit Margin | 3.0% |
| ROE | 22.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 71.65 |
| Current Ratio | 0.77 |
| Dividend Yield | 78.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.53 |
Trading Data
127.72
Open
127.72
Day High
127.72
Day Low
41.74M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)