Alinma Bank

1150.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

25.14 SAR

0.00 (-0.24%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:30 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 59

Fundamental (0%) 44

Macro 59

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	92.7	20%
Momentum	58.8	20%
Fundamental	44.4	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	47.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	25.14
Stop Loss	24.38 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	25.90 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	26.66 (+6.0%)

ATR(14)	0.38 (1.5%)
Risk per Share	0.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	83.8	+1.35
Momentum	58.8	+0.35
Quality	73.9	+0.96
Composite	72.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.6	18.0	-30% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

25.12

Market Price

25.14

Upside

-0.1%

Margin of Safety	-0.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	19,976,736,665
Terminal Value PV	55,388,428,208
Total Enterprise Value	75,365,164,873

Assumptions

Base FCF	4,800,000,016
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

46.7%

Full Kelly

23.35%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.38

RSI(14)

0.3068

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+6.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.38	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3068	BEARISH
Ma Cross	24.3 / 23.07	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.58x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	26.00
Bollinger Upper	26.11
SMA(200)	23.07
SMA(50)	24.3
SMA(20)	25.04
Current Price	25.14
Bollinger Lower	23.98
52-Week Low	19.95
ATR(14)	0.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.44	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	24.70	Base line
Senkou A	25.07	Leading span A
Senkou B	24.40	Leading span B
Cloud	24.40 – 25.07	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	25.14	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	23.80	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 23.98 – 26.11 | KC: 24.49 – 25.6

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 23.01 Anchor: 2025-11-26 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +9.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/1150.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	75.42B
P/E (TTM)	12.57
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.98
EPS	2.00

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	2.4%
Profit Margin	59.0%
ROE	13.9%
Debt/Equity	N/A
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	4.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.13

Trading Data

25.14

Open

25.14

Day High

25.14

Day Low

3.14M

Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (1)

Alinma Bank (SAU:1150) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Net Income Growth Amidst Margin ...

GuruFocus.com · 2026-05-01

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)