Al Yamamah Steel Industries Company

1304.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

35.88 SAR

0.00 (-0.88%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 48

Momentum 44

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 59

Liquidity 32

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	40%
Trend & RS	47.6	20%
Momentum	44.1	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	31.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	35.88
Stop Loss	34.10 (5.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	37.66 (+5.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	39.44 (+9.9%)

ATR(14)	0.89 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	1.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	83.5	+1.34
Momentum	44.1	-0.24
Quality	41.8	-0.33
Composite	56.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	11.0	18.0	-39% below
P/B Ratio	2.4	2.5	Inline

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

45.71

Market Price

35.88

Upside

+27.4%

Margin of Safety	+21.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	711,908,041
Terminal Value PV	1,610,269,383
Total Enterprise Value	2,322,177,424

Assumptions

Base FCF	132,486,400
Growth Rate (5yr)	14.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

28.59%

Full Kelly

14.29%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

34.75

RSI(14)

-0.5464

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-3.1% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	34.75	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.5464	BEARISH
Ma Cross	38.62 / 37.55	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.99x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	43.50
Bollinger Upper	38.84
SMA(200)	37.55
SMA(50)	38.62
SMA(20)	37.4
Current Price	35.88
Bollinger Lower	35.96
52-Week Low	29.18
ATR(14)	0.89

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Stopping Volume	2.21x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-02	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	37.16	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	38.58	Base line
Senkou A	37.87	Leading span A
Senkou B	38.86	Leading span B
Cloud	37.87 – 38.86	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	35.88	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	37.30	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 35.96 – 38.84 | KC: 36.29 – 38.51

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 38.54 Anchor: 2025-12-29 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -6.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1304.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.82B
P/E (TTM)	11.01
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.37
EPS	3.26

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	14.7%
Profit Margin	8.4%
ROE	21.7%
Debt/Equity	136.38
Current Ratio	1.39
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.61

Trading Data

35.88

Open

35.88

Day High

35.88

Day Low

238.0K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)