Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company

1322.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

82.80 SAR

0.00 (-1.43%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 70

Momentum 50

Fundamental 67

Macro 59

Liquidity 30

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	69.5	30%
Momentum	50.1	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	30.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	82.80
Stop Loss	77.52 (6.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	88.08 (+6.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	93.36 (+12.8%)

ATR(14)	2.64 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	5.28
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	54.1	+0.16
Momentum	50.1	+0.00
Quality	58.8	+0.35
Composite	54.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	24.2	18.0	+34% above
P/B Ratio	5.2	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

36.60

Market Price

82.80

Upside

-55.8%

Margin of Safety	-126.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	971,453,395
Terminal Value PV	2,270,160,223
Total Enterprise Value	3,241,613,618

Assumptions

Base FCF	242,301,708
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.94%

Full Kelly

17.47%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.1

RSI(14)

1.4939

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+19.6% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+14.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.1	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.4939	BEARISH
Ma Cross	77.26 / 84.83	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.48x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	117.50
Bollinger Upper	90.02
SMA(200)	84.83
SMA(50)	77.26
SMA(20)	85.11
Current Price	82.80
Bollinger Lower	80.2
52-Week Low	63.20
ATR(14)	2.64

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	84.85	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	81.90	Base line
Senkou A	83.38	Leading span A
Senkou B	78.95	Leading span B
Cloud	78.95 – 83.38	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	82.80	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	74.05	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 80.2 – 90.02 | KC: 80.8 – 89.42

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Hidden Bullish	RSI	4
Regular Bearish	RSI	12
Regular Bearish	MACD	12

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 84.82 Anchor: 2025-09-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1322.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	7.33B
P/E (TTM)	24.21
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	5.16
EPS	3.42

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-8.4%
Profit Margin	24.6%
ROE	18.3%
Debt/Equity	8.99
Current Ratio	2.27
Dividend Yield	3.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.48

Trading Data

82.80

Open

82.80

Day High

82.80

Day Low

150.5K

Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (1)

Al Masane Al Kobra Mining And 2 Other Hidden Middle East Gems With Strong Foundations

Simply Wall St. · 2025-11-12

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)