Power and Water Utility Company for Jubail and Yanbu

2083.SR · Utilities · · SAR

45.70 SAR

+0.00 (0.57%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 88

Momentum 88

Fundamental 56

Macro 60

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	87.9	10%
Momentum	88.2	5%
Fundamental	55.6	40%
Macro	59.5	15%
Liquidity	42.1	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	45.70
Stop Loss	42.92 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	48.48 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	51.26 (+12.2%)

ATR(14)	1.39 (3.0%)
Risk per Share	2.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	54.8	+0.19
Momentum	88.2	+1.53
Quality	24.5	-1.02
Composite	55.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	37.8	16.0	+136% above
P/B Ratio	2.2	1.8	Above
Dividend Yield	4.0%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

33.94

Market Price

45.70

Upside

-25.7%

Margin of Safety	-34.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,727,342,553
Terminal Value PV	6,758,486,201
Total Enterprise Value	8,485,828,754

Assumptions

Base FCF	242,000,009
Growth Rate (5yr)	22.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.26%

Full Kelly

20.63%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

66.65

RSI(14)

1.6936

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+21.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 5d since high
Sector Outperformance	+17.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	66.65	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.6936	BULLISH
Ma Cross	39.76 / 35.56	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.52x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	46.18
Bollinger Upper	47.1
SMA(200)	35.56
SMA(50)	39.76
SMA(20)	42.84
Current Price	45.70
Bollinger Lower	38.57
52-Week Low	28.42
ATR(14)	1.39

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Supply	0.48x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	No Demand	0.52x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	44.62	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	40.80	Base line
Senkou A	42.71	Leading span A
Senkou B	40.80	Leading span B
Cloud	40.80 – 42.71	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	45.70	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	38.80	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 38.57 – 47.1 | KC: 40.73 – 44.94

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	21

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 35.32 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +29.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2083.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	11.43B
P/E (TTM)	37.77
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.18
EPS	1.21

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	22.2%
Profit Margin	4.1%
ROE	5.7%
Debt/Equity	245.93
Current Ratio	0.99
Dividend Yield	4.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.54

Trading Data

45.70

Open

45.70

Day High

45.70

Day Low

417.2K

Volume (0.8x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)