Southern Province Cement Company

3050.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

19.59 SAR

0.00 (-0.15%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 43

Momentum 39

Fundamental (0%) 22

Macro 59

Liquidity 33

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	42.9	20%
Momentum	38.6	20%
Fundamental	22.2	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	32.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	19.59
Stop Loss	19.05 (2.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	20.13 (+2.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	20.67 (+5.5%)

ATR(14)	0.27 (1.4%)
Risk per Share	0.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	95.8	+1.83
Momentum	38.6	-0.46
Quality	31.3	-0.75
Composite	55.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	2.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

30.12%

Full Kelly

15.06%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 47/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.05

RSI(14)

0.1574

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+1.9% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.05	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.1574	BULLISH
Ma Cross	19.15 / 20.76	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.8x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	28.00
Bollinger Upper	19.93
SMA(200)	20.76
SMA(50)	19.15
SMA(20)	19.38
Current Price	19.59
Bollinger Lower	18.83
52-Week Low	18.41
ATR(14)	0.27

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	19.44	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	19.16	Base line
Senkou A	19.30	Leading span A
Senkou B	19.09	Leading span B
Cloud	19.09 – 19.30	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	19.59	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	18.68	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 18.83 – 19.93 | KC: 18.92 – 19.84

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	25

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 19.13 Anchor: 2026-07-29 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (5 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/3050.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.74B
P/E (TTM)	N/A
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.90
EPS	-0.34

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	2.9%
Profit Margin	-5.5%
ROE	-1.5%
Debt/Equity	47.30
Current Ratio	2.87
Dividend Yield	2.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.09

Trading Data

19.59

Open

19.59

Day High

19.59

Day Low

41.9K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)