Eastern Province Cement Company

3080.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

26.28 SAR

+0.00 (0.69%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 81

Momentum 66

Fundamental 78

Macro 55

Liquidity 35

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	80.6	30%
Momentum	66.5	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	55.1	20%
Liquidity	35.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.28
Stop Loss	25.34 (3.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	27.22 (+3.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	28.16 (+7.2%)

ATR(14)	0.47 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	0.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	91.3	+1.65
Momentum	66.5	+0.66
Quality	57.6	+0.30
Composite	71.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	10.6	18.0	-41% below
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

52.00

Market Price

26.28

Upside

+97.9%

Margin of Safety	+49.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,073,847,753
Terminal Value PV	3,398,115,901
Total Enterprise Value	4,471,963,654

Assumptions

Base FCF	169,936,010
Growth Rate (5yr)	18.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

45.56%

Full Kelly

22.78%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.58

RSI(14)

0.2711

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+17.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 11d since high
Sector Outperformance	+16.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.58	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2711	BEARISH
Ma Cross	25.46 / 24.22	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	30.94
Bollinger Upper	27.54
SMA(200)	24.22
SMA(50)	25.46
SMA(20)	26.46
Current Price	26.28
Bollinger Lower	25.38
52-Week Low	21.95
ATR(14)	0.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	26.63	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	26.03	Base line
Senkou A	26.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	25.34	Leading span B
Cloud	25.34 – 26.33	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	26.28	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	24.85	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 25.38 – 27.54 | KC: 25.73 – 27.19

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bullish	RSI	4

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.53 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/3080.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.26B
P/E (TTM)	10.64
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.95
EPS	2.47

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	18.7%
Profit Margin	16.1%
ROE	9.2%
Debt/Equity	16.84
Current Ratio	3.38
Dividend Yield	4.6%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.01

Trading Data

26.28

Open

26.28

Day High

26.28

Day Low

147.7K

Volume (0.8x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)