Al Hammadi Holding Company

4007.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

25.48 SAR

+0.00 (0.63%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 13:16 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 29

Momentum 34

Fundamental 89

Macro 73

Liquidity 33

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	28.9	10%
Momentum	34.1	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	33.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	25.44
Stop Loss	24.36 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	26.52 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	27.60 (+8.5%)

ATR(14)	0.54 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	1.08
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	73.3	+0.93
Momentum	34.1	-0.64
Quality	58.1	+0.32
Composite	55.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 9.73 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	16.9	22.0	-23% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.2%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

18.50

Market Price

25.48

Upside

-27.4%

Margin of Safety	-37.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	847,013,349
Terminal Value PV	2,113,317,711
Total Enterprise Value	2,960,331,060

Assumptions

Base FCF	193,280,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	5.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

37.91%

Full Kelly

18.95%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.73

RSI(14)

-0.3284

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-2.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (23d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.73	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.3284	BEARISH
Ma Cross	25.83 / 29.42	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.56x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	40.40
Bollinger Upper	27.52
SMA(200)	29.42
SMA(50)	25.83
SMA(20)	26.01
Current Price	25.48
Bollinger Lower	24.51
52-Week Low	23.42
ATR(14)	0.54

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	1.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	2.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.56x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.54	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	26.09	Base line
Senkou A	25.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	25.47	Leading span B
Cloud	25.47 – 25.81	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	25.44	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	26.66	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 24.51 – 27.52 | KC: 25.28 – 26.75

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 25.91 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -1.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4007.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	4.08B
P/E (TTM)	16.87
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.03
EPS	1.51

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	5.2%
Profit Margin	19.6%
ROE	12.2%
Debt/Equity	14.28
Current Ratio	2.97
Dividend Yield	3.2%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.01

Trading Data

25.48

Open

25.48

Day High

25.48

Day Low

168.9K

Volume (0.6x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)