Al Hammadi Holding Company
4007.SR · Healthcare · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
29
Momentum
35
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
76
Liquidity
26
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 28.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 35.4 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 75.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 26.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 25.66 |
| Stop Loss | 24.58 (4.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 26.74 (+4.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 27.82 (+8.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.54 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 78.6 | +1.14 | |
| Momentum | 35.4 | -0.58 | |
| Quality | 58.1 | +0.32 | |
| Composite | 57.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.9 | 22.0 | -23% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.0 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% | 1.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
18.50
vs
Market Price
25.60
Upside
-27.7%
| Margin of Safety | -38.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 847,013,349 |
| Terminal Value PV | 2,113,317,711 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 2,960,331,060 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 193,280,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
11.65%
Full Kelly
5.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
47.25
RSI(14)
-0.3109
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
22
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (-2.5% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (23d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 47.25 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.3109 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 25.84 / 29.43 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.19x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 40.40 |
| Bollinger Upper | 27.51 |
| SMA(200) | 29.43 |
| SMA(50) | 25.84 |
| SMA(20) | 26.02 |
| Current Price | 25.60 |
| Bollinger Lower | 24.54 |
| 52-Week Low | 23.42 |
| ATR(14) | 0.54 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
75%
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 1.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 2.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 25.54 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26.09 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 25.81 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 25.47 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 25.47 – 25.81 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 25.66 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.66 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 24.54 – 27.51 | KC: 25.29 – 26.76
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 25.92
Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4007.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 4.10B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.04 |
| EPS | 1.51 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.2% |
| Profit Margin | 19.6% |
| ROE | 12.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 14.28 |
| Current Ratio | 2.97 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.01 |
Trading Data
25.60
Open
25.60
Day High
25.60
Day Low
55.7K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)