Scientific and Medical Equipment House Company

4014.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

28.14 SAR

0.00 (-0.85%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 43

Fundamental 44

Macro 60

Liquidity 21

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	21.9	30%
Momentum	42.6	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	59.5	20%
Liquidity	20.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.14
Stop Loss	27.30 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	28.98 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	29.82 (+6.0%)

ATR(14)	0.42 (1.5%)
Risk per Share	0.84
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	65.3	+0.61
Momentum	42.6	-0.30
Quality	34.8	-0.61
Composite	47.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.6	22.0	+39% above
P/B Ratio	1.7	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.5%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

7.78

Market Price

28.14

Upside

-72.4%

Margin of Safety	-261.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	84,121,531
Terminal Value PV	149,248,533
Total Enterprise Value	233,370,064

Assumptions

Base FCF	22,080,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

20.78%

Full Kelly

10.39%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.87

RSI(14)

0.0734

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-2.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.87	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0734	BULLISH
Ma Cross	28.21 / 29.78	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.4x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	41.00
Bollinger Upper	28.85
SMA(200)	29.78
SMA(50)	28.21
SMA(20)	28.0
Current Price	28.14
Bollinger Lower	27.15
52-Week Low	26.00
ATR(14)	0.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

100%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Supply	0.41x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03	No Demand	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-06	No Demand	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-07	Normal	0.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	28.57	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	28.11	Base line
Senkou A	28.34	Leading span A
Senkou B	28.73	Leading span B
Cloud	28.34 – 28.73	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	28.14	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	28.12	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 27.15 – 28.85 | KC: 27.4 – 28.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 29.21 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -3.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4014.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	844.20M
P/E (TTM)	30.59
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.69
EPS	0.92

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-22.1%
Profit Margin	3.5%
ROE	5.0%
Debt/Equity	47.48
Current Ratio	2.15
Dividend Yield	3.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.17

Trading Data

28.14

Open

28.14

Day High

28.14

Day Low

21.8K

Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)