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Scientific and Medical Equipment House Company

4014.SR · Healthcare · · SAR
28.14 SAR
0.00 (-0.85%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

33
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 22
Momentum 43
Fundamental (0%) 44
Macro 59
Liquidity 21
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 40%
Trend & RS 21.9 20%
Momentum 42.6 20%
Fundamental 44.4 0%
Macro 59.4 15%
Liquidity 20.6 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 28.14
Stop Loss 27.30 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 28.98 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 29.82 (+6.0%)
ATR(14) 0.42 (1.5%)
Risk per Share 0.84
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 65.3 +0.61
Momentum 42.6 -0.30
Quality 34.8 -0.61
Composite 47.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 30.6 22.0 +39% above
P/B Ratio 1.7 4.0 Below
Dividend Yield 3.5% 1.5% Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
7.78
vs
Market Price
28.14
Upside
-72.4%
Margin of Safety -261.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)84,121,531
Terminal Value PV149,248,533
Total Enterprise Value233,370,064

Assumptions

Base FCF22,080,000
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
18.57%
Full Kelly
9.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 33/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
49.87
RSI(14)
0.0734
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

17
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI ↓ FALLING (-2.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -10.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 49.87 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0734 BULLISH
Ma Cross 28.21 / 29.78 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.4x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High41.00
Bollinger Upper28.85
SMA(200)29.78
SMA(50)28.21
SMA(20)28.0
Current Price28.14
Bollinger Lower27.15
52-Week Low26.00
ATR(14)0.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
100%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-09-01 Normal 0.68x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 No Supply 0.41x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03 No Demand 0.36x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-06 No Demand 0.36x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-07 Normal 0.4x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 28.57 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 28.11 Base line
Senkou A 28.34 Leading span A
Senkou B 28.73 Leading span B
Cloud 28.34 – 28.73 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 28.14 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 28.12 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 27.15 – 28.85  |  KC: 27.4 – 28.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 29.21 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -3.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4014.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap844.20M
P/E (TTM)30.59
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.69
EPS0.92

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-22.1%
Profit Margin3.5%
ROE5.0%
Debt/Equity47.48
Current Ratio2.15
Dividend Yield3.5%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.17

Trading Data

28.14
Open
28.14
Day High
28.14
Day Low
21.8K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —