Dr. Soliman Abdel Kader Fakeeh Hospital Company

4017.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

38.60 SAR

+0.00 (0.52%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 80

Trend & RS 68

Momentum 71

Fundamental 33

Macro 59

Liquidity 60

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	80.0	10%
Trend & RS	68.2	10%
Momentum	71.2	5%
Fundamental	33.3	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	59.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	38.60
Stop Loss	36.84 (4.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	40.36 (+4.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	42.12 (+9.1%)

ATR(14)	0.88 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	1.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	51.2	+0.05
Momentum	71.2	+0.85
Quality	35.0	-0.60
Composite	52.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	38.2	22.0	+74% above
P/B Ratio	2.8	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	86.0%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

10.81

Market Price

38.60

Upside

-72.0%

Margin of Safety	-257.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	745,083,074
Terminal Value PV	1,741,162,228
Total Enterprise Value	2,486,245,302

Assumptions

Base FCF	185,840,003
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.3%

Full Kelly

17.15%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

74.07

RSI(14)

0.9366

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+9.6% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Healthcare)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 5d since high
Sector Outperformance	+2.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	74.07	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	0.9366	BULLISH
Ma Cross	35.72 / 34.77	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.29x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.84
Bollinger Upper	39.97
SMA(200)	34.77
SMA(50)	35.72
SMA(20)	36.33
Current Price	38.60
Bollinger Lower	32.68
52-Week Low	27.20
ATR(14)	0.88

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	37.73	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	36.65	Base line
Senkou A	37.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	36.63	Leading span B
Cloud	36.63 – 37.19	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	38.60	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	35.10	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 32.68 – 39.97 | KC: 35.07 – 37.58

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 34.94 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +10.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4017.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	8.88B
P/E (TTM)	38.22
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.76
EPS	1.01

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-1.6%
Profit Margin	7.5%
ROE	N/A
Debt/Equity	35.24
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	86.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.12

Trading Data

38.60

Open

38.60

Day High

38.60

Day Low

168.5K

Volume (1.6x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)