Saudi Automotive Services Company

4050.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR

45.50 SAR

+0.00 (1.79%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:00 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 35

Momentum 49

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 59

Liquidity 66

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	35.3	20%
Momentum	48.8	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	65.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	45.50
Stop Loss	42.88 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	48.12 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	50.74 (+11.5%)

ATR(14)	1.31 (2.9%)
Risk per Share	2.62
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	34.4	-0.62
Momentum	44.4	-0.22
Quality	17.9	-1.29
Composite	32.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	50.6	18.0	+181% above
P/B Ratio	3.5	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

14.69

Market Price

45.50

Upside

-67.7%

Margin of Safety	-209.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	267,529,291
Terminal Value PV	760,490,840
Total Enterprise Value	1,028,020,131

Assumptions

Base FCF	50,399,999
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.76%

Full Kelly

15.88%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

69.55

RSI(14)

0.7951

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-6.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-11.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	69.55	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7951	BULLISH
Ma Cross	41.4 / 49.41	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.41x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	73.45
Bollinger Upper	45.72
SMA(200)	49.41
SMA(50)	41.4
SMA(20)	41.72
Current Price	45.50
Bollinger Lower	37.71
52-Week Low	37.20
ATR(14)	1.31

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

100%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Supply	0.4x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-02	Normal	0.51x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	43.62	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	41.42	Base line
Senkou A	42.52	Leading span A
Senkou B	41.90	Leading span B
Cloud	41.90 – 42.52	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	45.50	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	39.32	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 37.71 – 45.72 | KC: 39.69 – 43.75

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	22
Hidden Bearish	RSI	25

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 41.29 Anchor: 2026-08-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +10.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4050.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	3.18B
P/E (TTM)	50.56
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.47
EPS	0.90

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	12.2%
Profit Margin	0.5%
ROE	6.3%
Debt/Equity	447.98
Current Ratio	0.39
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.38

Trading Data

45.50

Open

45.50

Day High

45.50

Day Low

664.4K

Volume (2.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)