Taiba Investment Company

4090.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR

16.07 SAR

0.00 (-1.41%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 17:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 37

Momentum 27

Fundamental 56

Macro 57

Liquidity 52

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	37.0	30%
Momentum	26.7	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	56.8	20%
Liquidity	51.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	16.07
Stop Loss	15.17 (5.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	16.97 (+5.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	17.87 (+11.2%)

ATR(14)	0.45 (2.8%)
Risk per Share	0.90
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.9	+1.08
Momentum	26.7	-0.93
Quality	31.9	-0.73
Composite	45.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	22.6	18.0	+26% above
P/B Ratio	1.2	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	2.1%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

7.60

Market Price

16.07

Upside

-52.7%

Margin of Safety	-111.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,138,633,151
Terminal Value PV	2,660,837,578
Total Enterprise Value	3,799,470,729

Assumptions

Base FCF	283,999,993
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

20.17%

Full Kelly

10.09%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

32.29

RSI(14)

-0.5243

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-4.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	32.29	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.5243	BEARISH
Ma Cross	17.84 / 18.71	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.96x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	22.66
Bollinger Upper	18.42
SMA(200)	18.71
SMA(50)	17.84
SMA(20)	16.81
Current Price	16.07
Bollinger Lower	15.2
52-Week Low	15.53
ATR(14)	0.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.49x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	0.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	16.21	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	16.98	Base line
Senkou A	16.60	Leading span A
Senkou B	17.59	Leading span B
Cloud	16.60 – 17.59	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	16.07	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	18.15	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 15.2 – 18.42 | KC: 16.1 – 17.52

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	4

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 16.21 Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4090.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	8.03B
P/E (TTM)	22.63
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.16
EPS	0.71

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	1.8%
Profit Margin	23.2%
ROE	4.6%
Debt/Equity	32.77
Current Ratio	0.48
Dividend Yield	2.1%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.35

Trading Data

16.07

Open

16.07

Day High

16.07

Day Low

233.8K

Volume (1.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)