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Thimar Development Holding Company

4160.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR
35.90 SAR
0.00 (-3.96%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

48
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 52
Momentum 60
Fundamental 0
Macro 55
Liquidity 38
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 52.5 30%
Momentum 59.9 15%
Fundamental 0.0 10%
Macro 55.1 20%
Liquidity 37.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 35.90
Stop Loss 31.70 (11.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 40.10 (+11.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 44.30 (+23.4%)
ATR(14) 2.10 (5.8%)
Risk per Share 4.20
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 59.9 +0.40
Quality 15.0 -1.40
Composite 25.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 0 /9 — Weak
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio N/A 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 30.8 2.5 Above

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
30.8%
Full Kelly
15.4%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
49.45
RSI(14)
1.341
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

31
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI ↑ RISING (+8.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance -0.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 49.45 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.341 BULLISH
Ma Cross 34.04 / 36.82 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.67x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High50.85
Bollinger Upper41.11
SMA(200)36.82
SMA(50)34.04
SMA(20)36.28
Current Price35.90
Bollinger Lower31.46
52-Week Low28.90
ATR(14)2.1

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
65%
Buying Climax Upthrust (potential) Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0  |  Dist: 5.5  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-05 Stopping Volume 2.18x High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-07-06 Normal 1.65x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 1.18x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 1.18x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.67x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 39.27 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 38.05 Base line
Senkou A 38.66 Leading span A
Senkou B 36.20 Leading span B
Cloud 36.20 – 38.66 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 35.90 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 33.10 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 31.46 – 41.11  |  KC: 32.96 – 39.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 15
Hidden Bullish MACD 15

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 37.18 Anchor: 2026-05-20 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -3.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4160.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap233.35M
P/E (TTM)N/A
Forward P/EN/A
P/B30.76
EPS-1.85

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue GrowthN/A
Profit MarginN/A
ROE-86.1%
Debt/Equity160.18
Current Ratio1.37
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.20

Trading Data

35.90
Open
35.90
Day High
35.90
Day Low
320.3K
Volume (1.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —