United International Transportation Company

4260.SR · Industrials · · SAR

30.78 SAR

+0.00 (1.52%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 17

Momentum 11

Fundamental 51

Macro 54

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	16.6	10%
Momentum	11.2	5%
Fundamental	51.3	40%
Macro	54.2	15%
Liquidity	34.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	30.78
Stop Loss	29.14 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	32.42 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	34.06 (+10.7%)

ATR(14)	0.82 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	1.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	89.4	+1.58
Momentum	11.2	-1.55
Quality	29.9	-0.80
Composite	43.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.35 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	10.8	18.0	-40% below
P/B Ratio	1.1	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	4.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

30.61

Market Price

30.78

Upside

-0.6%

Margin of Safety	-0.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	958,988,169
Terminal Value PV	2,241,030,615
Total Enterprise Value	3,200,018,784

Assumptions

Base FCF	239,192,609
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

24.92%

Full Kelly

12.46%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.02

RSI(14)

-0.9808

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-18.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (57d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-16.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.02	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.9808	BULLISH
Ma Cross	33.42 / 43.21	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.67x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	59.21
Bollinger Upper	35.22
SMA(200)	43.21
SMA(50)	33.42
SMA(20)	32.02
Current Price	30.78
Bollinger Lower	28.83
52-Week Low	30.00
ATR(14)	0.82

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	2.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	30.89	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	32.71	Base line
Senkou A	31.80	Leading span A
Senkou B	35.74	Leading span B
Cloud	31.80 – 35.74	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	30.78	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	35.12	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 28.83 – 35.22 | KC: 30.88 – 33.17

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	5

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 30.70 Anchor: 2026-06-30 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4260.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	3.22B
P/E (TTM)	10.76
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.08
EPS	2.86

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	1.6%
Profit Margin	12.3%
ROE	10.1%
Debt/Equity	55.28
Current Ratio	0.67
Dividend Yield	4.9%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.02

Trading Data

30.78

Open

30.78

Day High

30.78

Day Low

407.4K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)