United International Transportation Company
4260.SR · Industrials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
17
Momentum
11
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
57
Liquidity
34
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 16.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 11.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 57.1 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 34.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 30.78 |
| Stop Loss | 29.14 (5.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 32.42 (+5.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 34.06 (+10.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.82 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.64 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 90.5 | +1.62 | |
| Momentum | 11.2 | -1.55 | |
| Quality | 29.9 | -0.80 | |
| Composite | 43.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.8 | 18.0 | -40% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.1 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.9% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
30.61
vs
Market Price
30.78
Upside
-0.6%
| Margin of Safety | -0.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 958,988,173 |
| Terminal Value PV | 2,241,030,623 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 3,200,018,796 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 239,192,609 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
11.95%
Full Kelly
5.98%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
40.02
RSI(14)
-0.9808
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
4
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-18.2% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (57d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -16.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.02 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.9808 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 33.42 / 43.21 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.67x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 59.21 |
| Bollinger Upper | 35.22 |
| SMA(200) | 43.21 |
| SMA(50) | 33.42 |
| SMA(20) | 32.02 |
| Current Price | 30.78 |
| Bollinger Lower | 28.83 |
| 52-Week Low | 30.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.82 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 2.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 30.89 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 32.71 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 31.80 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 35.74 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 31.80 – 35.74 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 30.78 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 35.12 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 28.83 – 35.22 | KC: 30.88 – 33.17
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 5 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 30.70
Anchor: 2026-06-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4260.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 3.22B |
| P/E (TTM) | 10.76 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.08 |
| EPS | 2.86 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.6% |
| Profit Margin | 12.3% |
| ROE | 10.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 55.28 |
| Current Ratio | 0.67 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.02 |
Trading Data
30.78
Open
30.78
Day High
30.78
Day Low
407.4K
Volume (0.7x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)