Kingdom Holding Company

4280.SR · Industrials · · SAR

13.98 SAR

0.00 (-0.14%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 75

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 59

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	98.0	20%
Momentum	75.2	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	37.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	13.98
Stop Loss	13.04 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	14.92 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	15.86 (+13.4%)

ATR(14)	0.47 (3.4%)
Risk per Share	0.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	73.7	+0.95
Momentum	75.2	+1.01
Quality	42.7	-0.29
Composite	63.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.4	18.0	+52% above
P/B Ratio	0.8	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	2.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

6.30

Market Price

13.98

Upside

-55.0%

Margin of Safety	-122.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,222,545,966
Terminal Value PV	17,109,780,545
Total Enterprise Value	23,332,326,511

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,512,047,942
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

48.91%

Full Kelly

24.46%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.32

RSI(14)

0.4141

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+6.4% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (6d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+4.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.32	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.4141	BEARISH
Ma Cross	12.75 / 10.41	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.31x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	15.94
Bollinger Upper	14.81
SMA(200)	10.41
SMA(50)	12.75
SMA(20)	13.95
Current Price	13.98
Bollinger Lower	13.09
52-Week Low	7.03
ATR(14)	0.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	2.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	No Supply	0.31x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	14.20	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	13.27	Base line
Senkou A	13.73	Leading span A
Senkou B	12.86	Leading span B
Cloud	12.86 – 13.73	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	13.98	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	11.84	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 13.09 – 14.81 | KC: 13.28 – 14.62

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	7

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 11.17 Anchor: 2025-09-15 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +25.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4280.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	51.81B
P/E (TTM)	27.41
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.76
EPS	0.51

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	1.3%
Profit Margin	75.4%
ROE	3.4%
Debt/Equity	17.88
Current Ratio	0.55
Dividend Yield	2.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.14

Trading Data

13.98

Open

13.98

Day High

13.98

Day Low

313.9K

Volume (0.2x avg)

Recent News (1)

SpaceX Debut Lifts Alwaleed Stake Toward $7 Billion

GuruFocus.com · 2026-06-15

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)