Alandalus Property Company
4320.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
45
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
27
Momentum
52
Fundamental
67
Macro
59
Liquidity
21
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 27.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 52.0 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 21.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 14.59 |
| Stop Loss | 14.01 (4.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 15.17 (+4.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 15.75 (+8.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.29 (2.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 45.2 | -0.19 | |
| Momentum | 52.0 | +0.08 | |
| Quality | 22.0 | -1.12 | |
| Composite | 39.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 291.8 | 18.0 | +1521% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 1.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.03
vs
Market Price
14.59
Upside
-92.9%
| Margin of Safety | -1318.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 26,264,336 |
| Terminal Value PV | 69,752,056 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 96,016,392 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,733,333 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
28.89%
Full Kelly
14.45%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
43.25
RSI(14)
0.0421
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
18
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+3.6% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (6d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 43.25 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0421 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.61 / 15.73 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.35x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 21.15 |
| Bollinger Upper | 15.29 |
| SMA(200) | 15.73 |
| SMA(50) | 14.61 |
| SMA(20) | 14.86 |
| Current Price | 14.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 14.43 |
| 52-Week Low | 13.52 |
| ATR(14) | 0.29 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION B
Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 14.96 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 14.98 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 14.97 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 14.50 – 14.97 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 14.59 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 15.32 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 14.43 – 15.29 | KC: 14.5 – 15.23
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.67
Anchor: 2026-07-16 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4320.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1.36B |
| P/E (TTM) | 291.80 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.41 |
| EPS | 0.05 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 65.4% |
| Profit Margin | 1.9% |
| ROE | 1.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 87.64 |
| Current Ratio | 1.16 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.16 |
Trading Data
14.59
Open
14.59
Day High
14.59
Day Low
12.0K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)