Alkhabeer REIT Fund

4348.SR · Real Estate · · SAR

5.61 SAR

0.00 (-0.53%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 58

Momentum 52

Fundamental 44

Macro 59

Liquidity 19

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	58.2	30%
Momentum	52.3	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	19.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	5.61
Stop Loss	5.55 (1.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	5.67 (+1.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	5.73 (+2.1%)

ATR(14)	0.03 (0.5%)
Risk per Share	0.06
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.0	+1.24
Momentum	52.3	+0.09
Quality	40.2	-0.39
Composite	57.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.8	18.0	+15% above
P/B Ratio	0.8	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	7.5%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.28

Market Price

5.61

Upside

-59.3%

Margin of Safety	-145.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	116,040,135
Terminal Value PV	205,878,560
Total Enterprise Value	321,918,695

Assumptions

Base FCF	30,457,912
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.37%

Full Kelly

17.19%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.38

RSI(14)

0.0017

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+2.6% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (6d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.38	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0017	BEARISH
Ma Cross	5.62 / 5.51	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.3x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	5.90
Bollinger Upper	5.66
SMA(200)	5.51
SMA(50)	5.62
SMA(20)	5.63
Current Price	5.61
Bollinger Lower	5.6
52-Week Low	5.50
ATR(14)	0.03

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	2.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	No Supply	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-06	No Supply	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-07	Normal	0.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	5.64	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	5.63	Base line
Senkou A	5.64	Leading span A
Senkou B	5.63	Leading span B
Cloud	5.63 – 5.64	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	5.61	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	5.62	Bearish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 49 bars Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 5.6 – 5.66 | KC: 5.58 – 5.68

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 5.53 Anchor: 2025-12-17 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4348.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	791.06M
P/E (TTM)	20.78
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.78
EPS	0.27

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-13.3%
Profit Margin	30.0%
ROE	3.7%
Debt/Equity	59.23
Current Ratio	0.96
Dividend Yield	7.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.09

Trading Data

5.61

Open

5.61

Day High

5.61

Day Low

34.9K

Volume (0.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)