Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co.

6070.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

40.26 SAR

0.00 (-1.71%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 32

Momentum 32

Fundamental 67

Macro 59

Liquidity 31

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	32.0	10%
Momentum	32.4	5%
Fundamental	66.7	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	31.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	40.26
Stop Loss	38.72 (3.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	41.80 (+3.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	43.34 (+7.7%)

ATR(14)	0.77 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	1.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	66.4	+0.65
Momentum	32.4	-0.70
Quality	30.3	-0.79
Composite	43.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.5	18.0	+69% above
P/B Ratio	1.5	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	2.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

11.16

Market Price

40.26

Upside

-72.3%

Margin of Safety	-260.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	120,696,105
Terminal Value PV	214,139,190
Total Enterprise Value	334,835,295

Assumptions

Base FCF	31,679,998
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.91%

Full Kelly

15.96%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.89

RSI(14)

-0.2697

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-2.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.89	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.2697	BULLISH
Ma Cross	41.15 / 44.99	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.69x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	53.90
Bollinger Upper	40.8
SMA(200)	44.99
SMA(50)	41.15
SMA(20)	39.42
Current Price	40.26
Bollinger Lower	38.04
52-Week Low	38.20
ATR(14)	0.77

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	40.33	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	41.13	Base line
Senkou A	40.73	Leading span A
Senkou B	42.51	Leading span B
Cloud	40.73 – 42.51	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	40.26	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	43.48	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 38.04 – 40.8 | KC: 38.36 – 40.47

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 39.66 Anchor: 2026-08-13 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/6070.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.21B
P/E (TTM)	30.50
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.51
EPS	1.32

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	0.6%
Profit Margin	5.6%
ROE	5.0%
Debt/Equity	50.78
Current Ratio	1.54
Dividend Yield	2.6%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.35

Trading Data

40.26

Open

40.26

Day High

40.26

Day Low

72.0K

Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (1)

Almunajem Foods bids for stake in Al Jouf

Just Food · 2026-01-20

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)