Etihad GO Telecom Co.

7040.SR · Communication Services · · SAR

98.95 SAR

0.00 (-1.15%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 70

Momentum 57

Fundamental 89

Macro 73

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	69.8	10%
Momentum	57.1	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	42.4	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	98.90
Stop Loss	94.22 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	103.58 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	108.26 (+9.5%)

ATR(14)	2.34 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	4.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	74.0	+0.96
Momentum	57.1	+0.28
Quality	55.6	+0.22
Composite	62.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 33.42 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	14.0	18.0	-22% below
P/B Ratio	3.5	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	30.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

189.19

Market Price

98.95

Upside

+91.2%

Margin of Safety	+47.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,438,162,138
Terminal Value PV	4,994,167,491
Total Enterprise Value	6,432,329,629

Assumptions

Base FCF	192,847,433
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.11%

Full Kelly

23.55%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

61.69

RSI(14)

2.0746

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+2.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance	+14.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	61.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.0746	BULLISH
Ma Cross	90.23 / 96.36	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.01x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	113.90
Bollinger Upper	99.85
SMA(200)	96.36
SMA(50)	90.23
SMA(20)	95.53
Current Price	98.95
Bollinger Lower	91.22
52-Week Low	80.50
ATR(14)	2.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

43%

Sign of Strength

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 1.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	1.38x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	2.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	97.53	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	93.10	Base line
Senkou A	95.31	Leading span A
Senkou B	90.70	Leading span B
Cloud	90.70 – 95.31	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	98.90	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	85.55	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH