Etihad GO Telecom Co.

7040.SR · Communication Services · · SAR

98.90 SAR

0.00 (-1.20%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 11:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 69

Momentum 58

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 76

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	69.4	20%
Momentum	57.9	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	75.8	15%
Liquidity	35.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	99.35
Stop Loss	94.67 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	104.03 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	108.71 (+9.4%)

ATR(14)	2.34 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	4.68
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	74.1	+0.96
Momentum	57.9	+0.32
Quality	55.6	+0.22
Composite	62.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	13.9	18.0	-22% below
P/B Ratio	3.5	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	30.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

189.19

Market Price

98.90

Upside

+91.3%

Margin of Safety	+47.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,438,162,179
Terminal Value PV	4,994,167,636
Total Enterprise Value	6,432,329,815

Assumptions

Base FCF	192,847,438
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

44.89%

Full Kelly

22.45%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.13

RSI(14)

2.1105

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+2.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance	+14.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.13	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.1105	BULLISH
Ma Cross	90.24 / 96.36	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.83x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	113.90
Bollinger Upper	99.95
SMA(200)	96.36
SMA(50)	90.24
SMA(20)	95.56
Current Price	98.90
Bollinger Lower	91.17
52-Week Low	80.50
ATR(14)	2.34

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

43%

Sign of Strength

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 1.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	2.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	97.53	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	93.10	Base line
Senkou A	95.31	Leading span A
Senkou B	90.70	Leading span B
Cloud	90.70 – 95.31	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	99.35	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	85.55	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH