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The Company for Cooperative Insurance

8010.SR · Financial Services · · SAR
139.30 SAR
0.00 (-0.50%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 10:45 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

76
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 76
Momentum 59
Fundamental 78
Macro 73
Liquidity 33
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 75.9 30%
Momentum 58.9 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 72.7 20%
Liquidity 33.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 139.20
Stop Loss 132.36 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 146.04 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 152.88 (+9.8%)
ATR(14) 3.42 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 6.84
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 66.7 +0.67
Momentum 58.9 +0.35
Quality 65.4 +0.62
Composite 63.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 18.9 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 3.9 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 1.1% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
198.48
vs
Market Price
139.30
Upside
+42.5%
Margin of Safety +29.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)6,123,002,928
Terminal Value PV23,609,167,601
Total Enterprise Value29,732,170,529

Assumptions

Base FCF880,824,847
Growth Rate (5yr)21.2%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
49.03%
Full Kelly
24.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
60.48
RSI(14)
2.6421
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (+2.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High No (2d since high)
Sector Outperformance +3.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 60.48 NEUTRAL
Macd 2.6421 BULLISH
Ma Cross 130.48 / 128.09 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.08x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High161.00
Bollinger Upper142.17
SMA(200)128.09
SMA(50)130.48
SMA(20)133.18
Current Price139.30
Bollinger Lower124.18
52-Week Low111.80
ATR(14)3.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
55%
Buying Climax Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 3.0  |  Markup: 1.5  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-06 Normal 5.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 No Demand 0.08x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 136.50 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 133.85 Base line
Senkou A 135.18 Leading span A
Senkou B 133.55 Leading span B
Cloud 133.55 – 135.18 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 139.20 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 125.10 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 124.18 – 142.17  |  KC: 128.26 – 138.09

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 14
Hidden Bearish RSI 25

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 129.37 Anchor: 2026-01-08 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/8010.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap20.87B
P/E (TTM)18.95
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.89
EPS7.35

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth21.2%
Profit Margin5.7%
ROE22.4%
Debt/Equity12.93
Current Ratio4.71
Dividend Yield1.1%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.41

Trading Data

139.30
Open
139.30
Day High
139.30
Day Low
19.7K
Volume (0.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —