Gulf Union Alahlia Cooperative Insurance Company
8120.SR · Financial Services · · SARFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
74
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
90
Momentum
77
Fundamental (0%)
22
Macro
59
Liquidity
28
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 89.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 77.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 22.2 | 0% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 27.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 14.81 |
| Stop Loss | 14.21 (4.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 15.41 (+4.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 16.01 (+8.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.30 (2.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.60 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 92.7 | +1.71 | |
| Momentum | 77.1 | +1.08 | |
| Quality | 43.9 | -0.24 | |
| Composite | 71.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
47.87%
Full Kelly
23.94%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
62.19
RSI(14)
0.0791
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
73
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+21.1% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (18d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +15.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 62.19 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0791 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.38 / 11.93 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.27x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 15.10 |
| Bollinger Upper | 15.02 |
| SMA(200) | 11.93 |
| SMA(50) | 14.38 |
| SMA(20) | 14.66 |
| Current Price | 14.81 |
| Bollinger Lower | 14.31 |
| 52-Week Low | 9.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.3 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stopping Volume | 2.28x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | No Supply | 0.26x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-09-06 | No Supply | 0.26x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 14.56 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 14.36 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 14.46 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.05 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 14.05 – 14.46 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 14.81 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 14.03 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
6 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 14.31 – 15.02 | KC: 14.26 – 15.07
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 12.09
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+22.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 679.70M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.19 |
| EPS | -0.30 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -20.0% |
| Profit Margin | -1.6% |
| ROE | -2.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.56 |
| Current Ratio | 15.71 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.62 |
Trading Data
14.81
Open
14.81
Day High
14.81
Day Low
84.8K
Volume (0.7x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)