Gulf Insurance Group
8250.SR · Financial Services · · SARFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
75
/ 100
Technical
67
Trend & RS
91
Momentum
76
Fundamental
78
Macro
71
Liquidity
22
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 66.7 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 90.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 76.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 70.9 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 21.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 28.36 |
| Stop Loss | 26.98 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 29.74 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 31.12 (+9.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.69 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.38 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 88.5 | +1.54 | |
| Momentum | 76.1 | +1.04 | |
| Quality | 59.2 | +0.37 | |
| Composite | 74.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.8 | 18.0 | -34% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
24.68
vs
Market Price
28.36
Upside
-13.0%
| Margin of Safety | -14.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 437,997,208 |
| Terminal Value PV | 857,485,865 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,295,483,073 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 100,800,006 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 6.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
48.68%
Full Kelly
24.34%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
79.14
RSI(14)
0.8072
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
76
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+16.9% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +11.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 79.14 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 0.8072 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 24.4 / 24.18 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.87x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 28.42 |
| Bollinger Upper | 28.03 |
| SMA(200) | 24.18 |
| SMA(50) | 24.4 |
| SMA(20) | 25.57 |
| Current Price | 28.36 |
| Bollinger Lower | 23.11 |
| 52-Week Low | 0.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.69 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
64%
Sign of Strength
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 3.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 7.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 2.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 26.37 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26.25 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 26.31 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 24.89 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 24.89 – 26.31 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 28.36 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 24.87 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 23.11 – 28.03 | KC: 24.66 – 26.48
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 24.33
Anchor: 2025-12-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/8250.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1.49B |
| P/E (TTM) | 11.82 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.24 |
| EPS | 2.40 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 6.8% |
| Profit Margin | 7.9% |
| ROE | 11.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.00 |
| Current Ratio | 5.79 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.28 |
Trading Data
28.36
Open
28.36
Day High
28.36
Day Low
0.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)