Fesh Fash Snack Food Production Company NOMU
9515.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
48
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
36
Fundamental
56
Macro
76
Liquidity
10
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 38.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 35.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 75.8 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 10.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 9.89 |
| Stop Loss | 9.51 (3.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 10.27 (+3.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 10.65 (+7.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.19 (1.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.38 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 46.6 | -0.14 | |
| Momentum | 35.7 | -0.57 | |
| Quality | 55.3 | +0.21 | |
| Composite | 45.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 30.0 | 18.0 | +66% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.4 | 2.5 | Above |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
2.79
vs
Market Price
9.89
Upside
-71.8%
| Margin of Safety | -254.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 11,365,551 |
| Terminal Value PV | 20,164,776 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 31,530,327 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,983,200 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
31.1%
Full Kelly
15.55%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.63
RSI(14)
-0.2555
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
33
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-6.7% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (41d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.63 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.2555 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 11.02 / 10.88 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.0x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 13.83 |
| Bollinger Upper | 10.04 |
| SMA(200) | 10.88 |
| SMA(50) | 11.02 |
| SMA(20) | 9.86 |
| Current Price | 9.89 |
| Bollinger Lower | 9.68 |
| 52-Week Low | 9.19 |
| ATR(14) | 0.19 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 9.94 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 9.89 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 9.91 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 11.63 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 9.91 – 11.63 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 9.89 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 9.80 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
8 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 9.68 – 10.04 | KC: 9.65 – 10.07
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 11.13
Anchor: 2025-12-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-11.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9515.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 111.76M |
| P/E (TTM) | 29.97 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.38 |
| EPS | 0.33 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -3.3% |
| Profit Margin | 9.8% |
| ROE | 19.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 19.26 |
| Current Ratio | 2.85 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.18 |
Trading Data
9.89
Open
9.89
Day High
9.89
Day Low
21.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)