Aljouf Mineral Water Bottling Co. NOMU
9532.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
56
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
83
Momentum
55
Fundamental
56
Macro
68
Liquidity
13
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 83.1 | 10% |
| Momentum | 54.9 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 40% |
| Macro | 67.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 13.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 2.29 |
| Stop Loss | 2.11 (7.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 2.47 (+7.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 2.65 (+15.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.09 (3.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.18 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 45.4 | -0.19 | |
| Momentum | 54.9 | +0.20 | |
| Quality | 20.6 | -1.18 | |
| Composite | 40.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 45.8 | 18.0 | +154% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.3 | 2.5 | Inline |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.03
vs
Market Price
2.29
Upside
-55.1%
| Margin of Safety | -122.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 26,381,587 |
| Terminal Value PV | 70,063,445 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 96,445,032 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,750,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
36.82%
Full Kelly
18.41%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
55.37
RSI(14)
0.0246
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
82
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (-1.9% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (48d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +2.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 55.37 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0246 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 2.23 / 2.11 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.0x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 2.39 |
| Bollinger Upper | 2.38 |
| SMA(200) | 2.11 |
| SMA(50) | 2.23 |
| SMA(20) | 2.22 |
| Current Price | 2.29 |
| Bollinger Lower | 2.05 |
| 52-Week Low | 1.32 |
| ATR(14) | 0.09 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
75%
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-13 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-14 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 2.21 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 2.15 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 2.18 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 2.19 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 2.18 – 2.19 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 2.29 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 2.23 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 2.05 – 2.38 | KC: 2.08 – 2.35
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 16 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 2.03
Anchor: 2025-06-25 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+12.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9532.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 214.69M |
| P/E (TTM) | 45.80 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.27 |
| EPS | 0.05 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 25.6% |
| Profit Margin | 6.1% |
| ROE | 4.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 88.11 |
| Current Ratio | 0.28 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.16 |
Trading Data
2.29
Open
2.29
Day High
2.29
Day Low
14.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)